BULLISH CONCEALING BABY SWALLOW
Definition
This is a pattern formed by four black candlesticks. After two falling Black Marubozu days, a short down day engulfed by a fourth black day shows that the downtrend has eroded significantly, despite the final close is at a new low.
Recognition Criteria
1. Two falling Black Marubozu days at the beginning confirms the downtrend.
2. The third day is a short black with downside gap. However, this day trades into the previous day’s body, producing a long upper shadow.
3. The fourth black day completely engulfs the third day including the shadow.
Pattern Requirements and Flexibility
The first two days of the Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow are types of Black Marubozu. The third day is a short black candlestick with an upper shadow that extends into the previous day’s trading range. The fourth black day makes a new low and engulfs the trading range of the third day completely.
Trader’s Behavior
Two black Marubozu show that downtrend is continuing to the satisfaction of the bears. On the third day, we see a downward gap further confirming the downtrend. However, prices on the third day start going above the close of the previous day causing some doubts about the bearish direction even though the day closes at or near its low. The next day shows us a significantly higher gap in the opening. After the opening, however, prices again go down closing at a new low. This last day may be interpreted as a good chance for the short-sellers to cover their short positions. An upside reversal still requires confirmation with a white candlestick.
Buy/Stop Loss Levels
The confirmation level is defined as the midpoint of the previous short black body. Prices should cross above this level for confirmation.
The stop loss level is defined as the lower of the last two lows. Following the BUY, if prices go down instead of going up, and close or make two consecutive daily lows below the stop loss level, while no bearish pattern is detected, then the stop loss is triggered.